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"Some of the models suggest that there is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap during some of the summer months will be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years." Al Gore, U.N. Climate Summit, Copenhagen, 2009

Well, we'll end up at about 4000 km3 for the 2017 minimum, compared to the historic (1950-1990) value of about 7500 km3. So it's going slower than we worried it might.

However, this year, we have an ice-free north pole:

From the Canadian Cost Guard twitter feed, the scientific ship and ice-breaker, Odin, at the geographical North Pole, August 28, 2016.

I am thankful that we aren't yet ice-fee. But I don't think it will be long now.

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